Bear Market Type
Classification of the current downturn based on historical pattern matching — different bear types have different recovery profiles.
Recovery Readiness
The bottom line — a composite score of how many recovery conditions are currently met. Higher means the market is closer to a sustainable recovery.
Regime Transition Probability
ML-estimated probability of a regime change within 5, 10, and 21 trading days, based on current market conditions.
Recovery Signal Status
These 8 signals track conditions that historically precede a bear-to-bull transition. INACTIVE means the condition is not yet present.
| Signal | Category | Value | Status | Primary |
|---|---|---|---|---|
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Archetype Primary Signals
Signals weighted highest for the current bear type
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Deployment Signal
What's the point? This translates recovery signals into a deployment indication — how much capital the model suggests deploying and when, based on the current readiness score and bear market type.
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Recovery Readiness History (30 days)
How to read this — tracks the readiness score over time, showing whether conditions are improving or deteriorating. A rising trend suggests recovery momentum is building.
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